Ten Ox coating followed by China, predicted China's macroeconomic trends.

<p> 2008 years of China's economy has too much to my surprise, in 2009 the Chinese economy has a lot of variables.. We focus on the highest degree of concern in the market ten questions we put forward the top ten of China's economy .in 2009 forecast to 2009, outlined an overview of the Chinese economy.. </ P> <p align="center"> </ p> <p> Wang annual GDP take seven eight </ p> .; <p> First, the Chinese economy's natural growth rate of about 5% -6% level,. This is basically the bottom line growth in 2009.. Second, the annual investment of 2 trillion to boost economic growth by 2.1 percentage points ... The two together in 2009, China's economic growth rate between 7% -8%.. </ P> <P> <P> <p>-quarter GDP growth rate of V-shaped rebound </ .p> <p> see from the quarterly rate of economic growth, we believe that the bottom of China's economic adjustment has been proven, the latest two from 2009. quarter of the Chinese economy will be a clear bottoming out trend.. Economic growth .in the second half of 2009 is expected to 8.3%, the growth rate increased 1.3 percentage points than in the first half.. </ P> <p> return to deflation </ p> <p> 2009 will face .a deflation in China, mainly because of three aspects: First international commodity prices ease inflationary pressures in the domestic input type; Second, mobile. shift from the spread of contraction; Third, demand growth slowed down, more and more products to excess, causing .prices to fall.. </ P> <p> trade surplus is still expected positive growth </ p> <p> 2009 年 surplus will be over 300 billion US dollars, is still expected to maintain positive growth.. .More substantial decline in imports was mainly due to positive growth in surplus: first, the decline in exports led to falling imports, the second decline in domestic demand led to reduced imports and the third is international commodity prices.. </ P> < .; p> significant decline in corporate profits </ p> <p> rise despite falling commodity prices reduced the pressure on business costs, but demand growth down, the sales price down the negative impact on profit growth greater. makes a substantial overall .profit growth will decline expected in 2009 than in 2008, profits of industrial enterprises decreased by 21%.. </ P> <p> unemployment rate significantly improved </ p> <p> with overall economic adjustment, we anticipate .more companies will be affected, will also have more people unemployed in 2009 is expected to register either urban. the unemployment rate or the actual unemployment rate will be significantly improved.. Pressures in the context of unemployment, the government will promote the full range of .employment growth.. </ P> <p> cut interest rates 81 basis points, the first slow down after </ p> <p> 135 basis point interest rate cut is still room for the next 12 months which will .cut interest rates 81 basis points, the time point. concentrated in the first half; natural growth momentum if the economy remains weak and deflationary pressures still high, then the remaining 54 basis-point cut in 2010.. </ P> < .p> M1 bottom of the proven, liquid song after song before </ p> <p> M1 growth rate in 2009 is expected to remain at about 10%, the second half of the change is not great.. Loans for the .first half of the year is expected to account for about 70% of credit, loan growth slowed in the second half, driven by growth of the role of M1 will be reduced.. </ P> <p> exchange rate stability maintenance ., 6.8 fluctuating </ p> <p> substantial depreciation of the RMB is not appropriate, from the latest one-year NDF quote term, 1 year after the exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar to 7, the expected stable. ... </ P> <p> policy to seek new breakthroughs in real estate and stock market </ p> <p> Government should quickly establish a positive cycle of two mechanisms to promote China's economic rise: </ .p> <p> One is to establish. real estate and economic development in a virtuous circle mechanism.. The Government will give up the price target expected by guiding developers to cut prices to promote real estate sales pick up.. If this is .the case, though will see housing sales prices come down significantly, but the real estate sales are expected to rebound in the second half.. </ P> <p> second is to establish the stock market and economic development in a virtuous .circle mechanism.. Countries are already "on the current number of financial advice and promoting economic development" in an explicit proposal to take effective measures to stabilize the stock market run.. We believe that the most important is to develop a true market value .of investors to act as a stabilizing force, the Stabilization Fund is expected to take place.. </ P>..